CEE Country Report Slovakia 2017

Landrapport

  • Slovakia
  • Jordbruk,
  • Automotive/Transport,

10 oktober 2017

Growth is expected to remain above 3% in 2017 and 2018, but the economy remains vulnerable to adverse developments in the automotive sector.

 

CEE Slovakia 2017 Key indicators

 

 

 

CEE Slovakia 2017 Industries performances forecast

 

Political situation

Head of state: President Andrej Kiska (since June 2014)

Head of government: Prime Minister Robert Fico (since April 2012)

Population: 5.4 million

Ruling party lost its absolute majority in the March 2016 elections

In the March 2016 general elections, which were mainly focused on the European migrant crisis, the ruling social-democratic Smer-SD party lost more than 15% and its absolute majority in parliament, mainly at the expense of nationalist and right-wing parties. Despite the losses the Smer-SD remained the largest party in parliament and forms a coalition government together with the nationalist SNS party and the liberal conservative Most-Híd party.

Economic situation

Growth forecast to remain above 3% in 2017 and 2018

 

CEE Slovakia 2017 Real GDP growth

 

The Slovakian economy grew 3.3% in 2016, and growth is expected to remain above 3% in 2017 and 2018 (3.1% and 3.5% respectively), driven by continued robust domestic demand, surging investment and exports to the eurozone.

Private consumption is forecast to continue to be one of the primary drivers of the economic expansion, fueled by rising household incomes. The labour market shows strong improvement, with the unemployment rate expected to continue its decrease from 14.1% in 2013 to 7.7% in 2017 and 7.4% in 2018, mainly due to improving domestic economic conditions.

 

CEE Slovakia 2017 Real private consumption

 

Exports are expected to continue to grow in 2017 and 2018, mainly driven by the favourable outlook of the automotive industry. Large foreign investments have increased productivity and export opportunities. Business investments and infrastructure spending is expected to grow.

Government finances are stable with the budget deficit being kept below 3% of GDP since 2013. The budget deficit is expected to decrease to 1.6% in 2017 and 1.4% in 2017. Public debt amounts to 52% of GDP.

Slovakia´s external economic position is solid. The current account deficit is expected to turn into a surplus in 2018.

Highly dependent on (automotive) exports

 

CEE Slovakia 2017 Real exports of goods and services

 

As the Slovakian economy is heavily reliant on industrial exports (especially automotive related) to the eurozone and Germany in particular, it remains very vulnerable to a eurozone downturn and/or adverse developments in the automotive sector.

Ansvarsfraskrivelse

Fremstillingene som er gitt her er kun generell informasjon, og skal ikke stoles på eller brukes som grunnlag for noe formål. Vennligst referer til selve polisen eller den aktuelle produkt- eller serviceavtalen for de styrende vilkårene. Ingenting i dette dokumentet skal tolkes til å skape noen rett, plikt eller ansvar fra Atradius' side, inkludert noen forpliktelse til å gjennomføre tilbørlig aktsomhet (due diligence) for kjøpere eller på dine vegne. Hvis Atradius gjennomfører tilbørlig aktsomhet for en kjøper, er det for egne underwriting-formål, og ikke til fordel for den forsikrede eller noen annen. I tillegg skal Atradius og tilhørende og tilknyttede selskaper og datterselskaper ikke i noe fall være ansvarlig for noen direkte, indirekte, spesielle eller tilfeldige skader eller følgeskader som følge av bruk av de fremstillinger som det er gitt informasjon om her.